Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.003284 0.003444 0.003607 0.003787 0.003979 0.004178 0.004401
2025-06-01 0.002997 0.003235 0.003487 0.003775 0.004098 0.004447 0.004857
2025-06-08 0.002802 0.003082 0.003386 0.003745 0.004157 0.004620 0.005180
2025-06-15 0.002632 0.002938 0.003277 0.003685 0.004166 0.004718 0.005407
2025-06-22 0.002497 0.002821 0.003187 0.003635 0.004174 0.004808 0.005618
2025-06-29 0.002410 0.002753 0.003146 0.003637 0.004239 0.004960 0.005905
2025-07-06 0.002274 0.002620 0.003023 0.003531 0.004163 0.004934 0.005963
2025-07-13 0.002210 0.002569 0.002992 0.003534 0.004219 0.005069 0.006228
2025-07-20 0.002175 0.002551 0.003000 0.003583 0.004332 0.005279 0.006598
2025-07-27 0.002105 0.002486 0.002947 0.003551 0.004339 0.005350 0.006783
2025-08-03 0.002044 0.002431 0.002902 0.003529 0.004355 0.005432 0.006984
2025-08-10 0.001985 0.002376 0.002856 0.003501 0.004361 0.005499 0.007165
2025-08-17 0.001965 0.002369 0.002872 0.003554 0.004479 0.005722 0.007580
2025-08-24 0.001917 0.002327 0.002839 0.003543 0.004508 0.005824 0.007827
2025-08-31 0.001866 0.002277 0.002796 0.003515 0.004513 0.005890 0.008020
2025-09-07 0.001807 0.002215 0.002735 0.003460 0.004476 0.005895 0.008122
2025-09-14 0.001754 0.002161 0.002682 0.003415 0.004450 0.005914 0.008242
2025-09-21 0.001724 0.002134 0.002664 0.003416 0.004492 0.006030 0.008519
2025-09-28 0.001656 0.002057 0.002577 0.003319 0.004386 0.005926 0.008441
2025-10-05 0.001629 0.002034 0.002561 0.003321 0.004425 0.006038 0.008715
2025-10-12 0.001620 0.002033 0.002576 0.003367 0.004528 0.006249 0.009159
2025-10-19 0.001584 0.001996 0.002540 0.003338 0.004520 0.006289 0.009321
2025-10-26 0.001552 0.001963 0.002511 0.003317 0.004522 0.006346 0.009513